Brexit – Trump Slump World

Davos 2019: 10 things we learned at the World Economic Forum

Davos 2019: 10 things we learned at the World Economic Forum

January 26, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

The first big international gathering of the year is the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in the Swiss ski resort of Davos . […]

Analysis: Why Brexit isn’t all that different from the wall fight

Analysis: Why Brexit isn’t all that different from the wall fight

January 17, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

As an American living in the U.K., I can’t help but notice the similarities between British Prime Minister Theresa May’s effort to deliver Brexit and […]

DealBook Briefing: ‘Brexit’ Deal Fails; What’s Next for Britain?

DealBook Briefing: ‘Brexit’ Deal Fails; What’s Next for Britain?

January 16, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

Paul Ellis/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images Good Wednesday morning. Breaking: Sears and Edward S. Lampert have reached $5.3 billion deal that would keep its stores […]

Another good day for Putin as turmoil grips US and UK

Another good day for Putin as turmoil grips US and UK

January 16, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

On either side of the Atlantic, the United States and Britain, the two great English-speaking democracies that orchestrated Moscow’s defeat in the Cold War, are […]

Britain is left without a Brexit plan. It’s headed toward disaster.

Britain is left without a Brexit plan. It’s headed toward disaster.

January 15, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

British Prime Minister Theresa May speaks to members of Parliament before their vote on her Brexit proposal on Tuesday in London. (Parliamentary Recording Unit Handout/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock) […]

Brexit, Trump And A Hidden Recession, Paid For By The Youth

Brexit, Trump And A Hidden Recession, Paid For By The Youth

January 15, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

Are we ready for the impending recession in the emotional wellbeing of a nation’s youth? Today’s gloomy Brexit vote in the U.K. casts a shadow […]

Brexit, U.S. Government Shutdown Drive Global Market Downturn

Brexit, U.S. Government Shutdown Drive Global Market Downturn

January 8, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

Optimist or pessimist, there’s plenty of equity grist for the mill. Early on Monday, U.S.-China trade talk resumptions and a strong jobs market report in […]

Brexit 2019: UK will choose between recession and relief

Brexit 2019: UK will choose between recession and relief

December 31, 2018 RealTrumpSlump 0

The United Kingdom is set to leave the European Union on March 29. Crashing out of the bloc without an exit agreement would result in […]

Wednesday: Housing Starts, Beige Book July 16, 2019
Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.• At 8:30 AM, Housing Starts for June. The consensus is for 1.260 million SAAR, down from 1.269 million SAAR in May.• During the day, The AIA's Architecture Billings Index for June (a leading indicator for […]
Phoenix Real Estate in June: Sales up 2.6% YoY, Active Inventory Down 4% YoY July 16, 2019
This is a key housing market to follow since Phoenix saw a large bubble / bust followed by strong investor buying.The Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service (ARMLS) reports ("Stats Report"):1) Overall sales increased to 9,313 in June, up from 9,079 in June 2018. Sales were down 9.9% from May 2019 (last month), and up 2.6% […]
Fed Chair Powell: "Monetary Policy in the Post-Crisis Era" July 16, 2019
From Fed Chair Jerome Powell: Monetary Policy in the Post-Crisis Era. Excerpt: In our baseline outlook, we expect growth in the United States to remain solid, labor markets to stay strong, and inflation to move back up and run near 2 percent. Uncertainties about this outlook have increased, however, particularly regarding trade developments and global […]
NAHB: "Builder Confidence Holds Firm in July" July 16, 2019
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported the housing market index (HMI) was at 65 in July, up from 64 in June. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.From NAHB: Builder Confidence Holds Firm in JulyBuilder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes rose one point […]
Industrial Production Unchanged in June July 16, 2019
From the Fed: Industrial Production and Capacity UtilizationIndustrial production was unchanged in June, as increases for both manufacturing and mining offset a decline for utilities. For the second quarter as a whole, industrial production declined at an annual rate of 1.2 percent, its second consecutive quarterly decrease. In June, manufacturing output advanced 0.4 percent. An […]
Retail Sales increased 0.4% in June July 16, 2019
On a monthly basis, retail sales increased 0.4 percent from May to June (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 3.4 percent from June 2018.From the Census Bureau report:Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for June 2019, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $519.9 […]

Upcoming Interview July 17, 2019
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join Yahoo Finance's On the Move, Wednesday, July 17 between 12PM and 1PM ET.
China and G7 Inflation July 16, 2019
Key takeaways:- Global industrial growth downturn callECRI made the call in late 2017, before the trade war began, and before the Global PMIs turned down, because ECRI’s indexes lead the PMI. Two conclusions follow – one is that the slowdown is about much more than the trade war, as Chairman Powell finally acknowledged in his […]
Upcoming TV Interview July 15, 2019
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be a guest on Bloomberg's Daybreak Asia on Monday, July 15 at 7:10 PM ET.
Weekly Leading Index Increases July 12, 2019
Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."__________________________________________ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index increased to 146.2 while the growth rate rose to -1.2%. ECRI has long determined business […]
Earning Growth Outlook Plunges July 11, 2019
On mobile, click here to view video interview.ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC to discuss what’s at stake for earnings as Q2 reporting gets underway.Click here to review our recent real-time track record.For information on our professional services please contact us.Follow @businesscycle on Twitter and on LinkedIn.

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