Dow Tumbles Over 600 points As Bond Markets Signal Recession

Dow Tumbles Over 600 points As Bond Markets Signal Recession
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NEW YORK, NY – Traders and financial professionals work ahead of the closing bell on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on August 1, 2019 in New York City. On Wednesday, the stock market plummeted more than 600 points, over troubling economic data that could signal a global recession. Stocks are falling sharply Wednesday on deepening worries over a slowdown in the global economy. The Dow has dropped over 600 points, or 2.5%. Investors have been whipsawed in recent days from mixed signals emerging from the Trump administration about tariffs and the escalating trade war with China. The jitters were exacerbated after worrisome economic data from two big countries. Germany posted negative growth in the latest quarter and China’s industrial output fell to a 17-year low. An even bigger worry: The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell below 2-year Treasuries for the first time since 2007. In other words, you would get a higher interest rate for government debt that matures in two years than in 10 years. Such an inversion in yields has a strong track record of predicting a recession, especially the longer it continues. Each of the last seven recessions, dating back to 1969 were preceded by the 10-year falling below the 2-year. Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance commented on today’s bond market turmoil:"The periods when the yield curve inverts are when markets believe we are headed into a recession and either inflation will be lower and, […]

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