Trump Impeachment Odds

Does the BuzzFeed report show that Trump obstructed justice? I asked 9 legal experts.

January 18, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

A new report from BuzzFeed News claims that President Trump “personally instructed” his former attorney Michael Cohen to lie to Congress during his 2017 testimony. […]

The 1 Line That William Barr Wrote About Obstruction That Could Haunt Trump

January 18, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

William Barr , President Donald Trump ’s nominee for attorney general, spelled out exactly how he defines obstruction, and it looks a lot like what […]

President Trump Directed His Attorney To Lie To Congress About The Moscow Tower Project

January 17, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

President Donald Trump directed his longtime attorney Michael Cohen to lie to Congress about negotiations to build a Trump Tower in Moscow, according to two […]

Rudy Giuliani just totally contradicted 18 months of ‘no collusion’ talk from Donald Trump

January 17, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

Giuliani: I never said there was no collusion 01:09 (CNN)If you know anything about the White House’s reaction to the ongoing special counsel probe into […]

We Resist: Day 728

January 17, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

One of the difficulties in resisting the Trump administration, the Republican Congressional majority, and Republican state legislatures (plus the occasional non-Republican who obliges us to […]

Mueller vs. Trump and more national and international storylines to know for 2019

January 17, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

Special counsel Robert Mueller and President Donald Trump. Photo Credit: AP / Charles Dharapak; Getty Images / Win McNamee This year looks like it will […]

Rudy Giuliani says Trump didn’t collude with Russia but can’t say if campaign aides did

January 17, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

(CNN)Rudy Giuliani said Wednesday that he never denied President Donald Trump’s campaign colluded with the Russian government during the 2016 campaign, only that the President […]

Trump Must Be a Russian Agent; the Alternative Is Too Awful

January 16, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

It would be rather embarrassing for Donald Trump at this point if Robert Mueller were to declare that the president isn’t an agent of Russian […]

Special counsel Robert Mueller and Trump campaign official Rick Gates again ask for delay in sentencing because he is cooperating in ‘several’ probes

January 15, 2019 RealTrumpSlump 0

Getty Images Richard Gates arrives at the Prettyman Federal Courthouse for a hearing February 23, 2018 in Washington, DC. Special counsel Robert Mueller and a […]

Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey, Fed Chair Powell July 15, 2019
From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Little-Changed Despite Bond Market GainsMortgage rates were mostly flat to begin the new week, even though underlying bond markets were in stronger territory. … Mortgage-backed bonds have improved somewhat throughout the day. At face value, that seems like it should help mortgage rates and indeed it […]
House Prices and Median Household Income July 15, 2019
One of the metrics we'd like to follow is a ratio of house prices to incomes. Unfortunately most income data is released with a significantly lag, and there are always questions about which income data to use (the average total income is skewed by the income of a few people).And for key measures of house […]
Ten Years Ago: The Sluggish Recovery Began July 15, 2019
Note: This is the 15th year I've been writing this blog. Sometimes it is fun to look back, especially at turning points. Starting in January 2005, I was very bearish on housing - and in early 2007, I predicted a recession.However in 2009 I became more optimistic. For example, in February 2009, I wrote: Looking […]
NY Fed: Manufacturing "Business activity rebounded modestly in New York State" July 15, 2019
From the NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey Manufacturing firms in New York State reported that business activity grew modestly in July. After declining substantially last month, the general business conditions index returned to positive territory, rising thirteen points to 4.3. After falling below zero last month, the index for number of employees slid further, […]
Sunday Night Futures July 14, 2019
Weekend:• Schedule for Week of July 14, 2019Monday:• At 8:30 AM, The New York Fed Empire State manufacturing survey for July. The consensus is for a reading of 0.5, up from -8.6.From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures: S&P 500 and DOW futures are down slightly (fair value).Oil prices were up over the last week […]
30 Year Mortgage Rates increase to 4.0% July 14, 2019
From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Highest Mortgage Rates in More Than 3 WeeksMortgage rates moved decisively higher this week as the underlying bond market finally began shifting gears. After the Fed meeting in June, rates moved to the lowest levels in more than 2 years and had been holding in a narrow range […]

Upcoming Interview July 17, 2019
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join Yahoo Finance's On the Move, Wednesday, July 17 between 12PM and 1PM ET.
Upcoming TV Interview July 15, 2019
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be a guest on Bloomberg's Daybreak Asia on Monday, July 15 at 7:10 PM ET.
Weekly Leading Index Increases July 12, 2019
Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."__________________________________________ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index increased to 146.2 while the growth rate rose to -1.2%. ECRI has long determined business […]
Earning Growth Outlook Plunges July 11, 2019
On mobile, click here to view video interview.ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC to discuss what’s at stake for earnings as Q2 reporting gets underway.Click here to review our recent real-time track record.For information on our professional services please contact us.Follow @businesscycle on Twitter and on LinkedIn.
Interview: What will the Fed do? July 8, 2019
Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC to discuss the odds of a Fed rate cut in light of the cyclical outlook for growth, and the separate inflation cycle. Click here to review our recent real-time track record.For information on our professional services please contact us.Follow @businesscycle on Twitter and on LinkedIn.

Trump Slump World

Tracking the Trump Slump around the World

Does the BuzzFeed report show that Trump obstructed justice? I asked 9 legal experts.

The 1 Line That William Barr Wrote About Obstruction That Could Haunt Trump

President Trump Directed His Attorney To Lie To Congress About The Moscow Tower Project

Rudy Giuliani just totally contradicted 18 months of ‘no collusion’ talk from Donald Trump

We Resist: Day 728

Mueller vs. Trump and more national and international storylines to know for 2019

Rudy Giuliani says Trump didn’t collude with Russia but can’t say if campaign aides did

Trump Must Be a Russian Agent; the Alternative Is Too Awful

Special counsel Robert Mueller and Trump campaign official Rick Gates again ask for delay in sentencing because he is cooperating in ‘several’ probes

Letter: Trump vulnerable to removal from office

The US apparently kept no detailed notes of Trump-Putin meetings for the past 2 years

Barr’s nomination should be withdrawn: Sen. Warner