Editorials – Trump Slump World

Major Leading Indexes Flashing Orange

December 30, 2018 RealTrumpSlump 0

All three major slowdown/recession composite leading indexes TrumpSlump.World considers most worthy of tracking are now flashing Orange. Both of the U.S.-centric WLIs (RecessionAlert and ECRI), […]

Black Knight's First Look: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in August, Foreclosure Inventory Lowest Since 2005 September 23, 2019
From Black Knight: Black Knight’s First Look: Foreclosure Starts Hit 18-year Low in August; Mortgage Prepayments Continue to Rise in Lower Interest Rate Environment• August’s 36,200 foreclosure starts made for the lowest single-month total since December 2000• The number of loans in active foreclosure inventory also fell; at 253,000, it’s the fewest since 2005• Prepayment […]
Chicago Fed "Index Points to a Pickup in Economic Growth in August" September 23, 2019
From the Chicago Fed: Index Points to a Pickup in Economic Growth in AugustLed by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to +0.10 in August from –0.41 in July. All four broad categories of indicators that make up the index increased from July, but three of the four categories […]
Sunday Night Futures September 23, 2019
Weekend:• Schedule for Week of September 22, 2019Monday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August. This is a composite index of other data.From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures: S&P 500 are up 10 and DOW futures are up 91 (fair value).Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI […]
Hotels: Occupancy Rate Unchanged Year-over-year September 22, 2019
From HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US hotel results for week ending 14 September The U.S. hotel industry reported mostly positive year-over-year results in the three key performance metrics during the week of 8-14 September 2019, according to data from STR.In comparison with the week of 9-15 September 2018, the industry recorded the following:• Occupancy: flat at 69.6%• […]
Schedule for Week of September 22, 2019 September 21, 2019
The key reports this week are August New Home sales, and the third estimate of Q2 GDP.Other key indicators include Personal Income and Outlays for August and Case-Shiller house prices for July.For manufacturing, the Richmond and Kansas City Fed manufacturing surveys will be released this week.----- Monday, Sept 23rd -----8:30 AM ET: Chicago Fed National […]
Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Positive in Q2 September 20, 2019
Note: This is not Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW) data from the Fed. The last MEW data from Fed economist Dr. Kennedy was for Q4 2008.The following data is calculated from the Fed's Flow of Funds data (released last week) and the BEA supplement data on single family structure investment. This is an aggregate number, and […]

ECRI in Toronto October 1, 2019
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be meeting with clients in Toronto, Canada from October 1 - 2.
Industrial Slowdown Grips China and the U.S. September 23, 2019
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg Australia to discuss the latest trade talk developments, and how, while they seem salient, the global industrial slowdown remains a key driver of the outlook for both China and the United States.Watch the full interview.Click here to review our recent real-time track record.For information on our professional services please contact […]
The US Economy Isn't In The Clear. A Recession is Still on The Table September 23, 2019
The stock market is once again nearing record highs amid investor hopes that a recession is off the table — at least for now. After all, economic data like retail sales and the jobless rate don't look disastrous, a trade deal with China may be in the works and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said […]
Upcoming TV Interview September 22, 2019
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be a guest on Bloomberg's Daybreak on Sunday, September 22 at 6:10 PM ET.
Weekly Leading Index Rises September 20, 2019
Click here to download ECRI WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On mobile, click here to go to ECRI's Reports & Indexes page, then click "Full Site."__________________________________________ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index rose to 146.7 as the growth rate increased to -1.5%. ECRI has long determined business […]